Geopolitical Rush for Rare Earth Minerals, a Strategic Global Asset

Rare Earth Elements (REEs), a group of seventeen chemically similar metallic elements, are crucial to the modern technological landscape. These elements, including neodymium, dysprosium, and praseodymium, possess unique magnetic, luminescent, and electrochemical properties. Their importance spans across various sectors such as renewable energy, electric vehicles (EVs), defence, and advanced electronics. As the global economy undergoes a green and digital transformation, the demand for REEs is accelerating.

However, the REE supply chain is fraught with challenges. From geopolitical monopolies to environmental hazards, ensuring stable access to these resources is a strategic priority for countries around the world.

Global Perspective

The global rare earth market was valued at approximately USD 12.44 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 37.06 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.83%. Several factors are fuelling this surge:

  1. Green Energy Transition: REEs like neodymium and dysprosium are vital for manufacturing permanent magnets used in wind turbines and electric vehicle motors. As nations commit to carbon neutrality, the demand for these elements is set to rise steeply.
  2. Consumer Electronics: From smartphones to smart TVs, REEs are embedded in nearly every modern electronic device. With increasing digitization and expanding middle-class populations in developing countries, consumer electronics continue to drive REE consumption.
  3. Electric Vehicles (EVs): The shift from internal combustion engines to electric drivetrains has intensified the need for REEs in EV motors. Government incentives and stricter emission norms are catalyzing this transition worldwide.
  4. Defence and Aerospace Applications: REEs are indispensable in military technologies such as precision-guided munitions, missile defence systems, and communication devices. They are also essential in producing lightweight alloys used in aircraft manufacturing.
  5. Medical and Imaging Technologies: REEs like gadolinium are used in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and other diagnostic devices, making them crucial for the healthcare industry.

Regional Overview

China: The Global Leader

China remains the undisputed leader in the rare earth market, accounting for over 80% of global production and 58% of market share in 2024. The country’s dominance stems from:

  • Extensive reserves and integrated supply chains
  • Advanced refining and separation capabilities
  • Strategic export controls and production quotas

China’s control over the REE sector has geopolitical implications. By leveraging its near monopoly, it can influence global prices and access, posing challenges for other economies. China has also launched several state-backed initiatives to expand its rare earth footprint globally, including investments in African and South American REE mining operations.

United States: Strategic Diversification

The U.S. is making significant investments to revive its domestic REE industry. Driven by the need to secure critical materials for defence and technology sectors, the U.S. aims to reduce its dependence on Chinese imports. By 2032, the U.S. market is projected to grow significantly, reaching USD 394 million. Initiatives include:

  • Funding domestic mining and processing projects
  • Encouraging public-private partnerships
  • Strategic stockpiling and recycling programs

The Mountain Pass mine in California has resumed operations and is a central pillar of the U.S. REE strategy. The Department of Defence is also supporting R&D in substitute materials and processing technologies.

Europe: Green Investment Focus

European nations are also prioritizing REE security to support their green agendas. Germany, France, and the UK are investing in domestic supply chains and recycling. For instance, the UK has launched a government-backed rare earth processing plant, and the European Union has identified REEs as critical raw materials.

European companies are exploring opportunities in Greenland and Eastern Europe to develop new mines. The EU is also focusing on setting environmental standards for responsible mining and enhancing REE recycling capacity from e-waste.

Asia-Pacific (Excluding China): Expanding Capacity

Japan and Australia are enhancing their REE sectors through bilateral collaborations. Australia, rich in REE deposits, is positioning itself as a reliable alternative supplier. Japan is investing in research and securing long-term agreements to diversify its sourcing.

South Korea is emerging as a key player by focusing on developing magnet production capabilities. ASEAN countries like Vietnam and Malaysia have started exploring their untapped REE reserves, aiming to become part of the global value chain.

Africa: Rising on the Global Radar

Africa is increasingly being recognized for its rich deposits of rare earths and its potential to become a key player in the global market. Countries such as:

  • Madagascar: Home to one of the largest rare earth projects in Africa, the Tantalus project, which is attracting significant foreign investment.
  • Namibia: Hosts the Lofdal Heavy Rare Earths Project, one of the few known heavy rare earth deposits outside China.
  • South Africa: The Steenkampskraal mine contains high-grade monazite, with plans underway to commercialize operations.
  • Tanzania: Boasts the Ngualla Rare Earth Project, which is in advanced development stages and backed by Australian investors.

African nations are engaging in strategic partnerships with countries like China, Australia, and the United States to develop their REE potential. However, issues such as infrastructure challenges, regulatory uncertainties, and political instability need to be addressed for Africa to fully realize its rare earth promise.

Other Advanced Economies

  • Canada: Emerging as a significant player, with multiple rare earth mining projects such as the Nechalacho project in Northwest Territories. Canada’s emphasis on environmental stewardship and indigenous engagement is setting a global benchmark.
  • Russia: Holds large reserves and is expanding its domestic REE industry under its Critical Minerals Strategy. The country aims to be self-sufficient by 2030.
  • Norway and Sweden: Recent discoveries and increased exploration activities, especially in Sweden’s Kiruna area, are poised to bolster Europe’s supply security.
  • South Korea: As part of its green transition strategy, the country is heavily investing in refining, recycling, and magnet manufacturing technologies.

Global Supply Chain Challenges

Despite the projected growth, the global REE supply chain faces persistent challenges:

  • Geopolitical Concentration: Overdependence on China exposes countries to supply disruptions.
  • Environmental Impact: REE extraction and processing can produce radioactive waste, causing ecological damage.
  • Price Fluctuations: Volatile prices deter investments in exploration and production.
  • Technological Barriers: Many countries lack advanced technologies for separation and refinement.
  • Community and Legal Opposition: Mining operations often face delays due to legal challenges and opposition from local communities over environmental concerns.

Diversification and Innovation Efforts

To mitigate these risks, several nations are taking proactive measures:

  • Australia: Partnering with Japan and South Korea to develop REE mining and processing infrastructure.
  • Europe: Advancing recycling technologies to recover REEs from e-waste and end-of-life products.
  • United States: Promoting research into alternative materials and substitutes.
  • Africa and Latin America: Emerging as new frontiers for REE exploration, with countries like Brazil, Madagascar, and Namibia seeking international collaboration.
  • Canada and Scandinavia: Investing in green extraction technologies and indigenous partnerships to promote sustainable mining.

India Perspective

India holds immense potential in the rare earth sector, with estimated reserves of 6.9 million metric tons, placing it among the top five globally. However, its contribution to global production is under 2%, reflecting significant untapped opportunity.

Mining and Resource Availability

India’s REEs are primarily found in monazite-rich beach sands, particularly in Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh. The extraction process is complicated due to the presence of thorium, a radioactive element, necessitating stringent handling and disposal measures. Moreover, mining operations are constrained by:

  • Environmental regulations
  • Coastal and forest protection laws
  • Community resistance and land acquisition hurdles

Other potential REE-rich zones include Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh, though comprehensive surveys and resource mapping are still in early stages. Revamping the Indian Rare Earths Limited (IREL) is being seen as a strategic move to ramp up domestic extraction.

Processing and Supply Chain Gaps

While India has capabilities for mineral beneficiation and some refining, it lacks infrastructure for key intermediate processes like magnet production and alloying. This absence creates bottlenecks in developing a value-added domestic REE industry. Challenges include:

  • High capital investment needs
  • Limited private sector participation
  • Technological dependence on foreign partners

India also needs a robust logistics and export framework for efficient market access. Developing industrial clusters focused on REE processing can streamline operations and attract investment.

Regulatory and Economic Barriers

India’s deposits often contain lower-grade ores, increasing the cost and complexity of extraction. Additionally, multiple regulatory clearances and overlapping jurisdictions delay project implementation. Addressing these issues requires streamlined policies and better inter-agency coordination.

Land acquisition, environmental approvals, and the involvement of multiple ministries (mines, environment, atomic energy) require harmonization to avoid bottlenecks.

Recent Government Initiatives

The Indian government is taking significant steps to bolster the REE sector:

  1. Policy Reforms: Liberalizing the sector to attract foreign direct investment and ease regulatory compliance.
  2. Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with global leaders are bearing fruit. For instance, Toyotsu Rare Earths India Limited (a subsidiary of Toyota Tsusho) is operating refining units in India.
  3. Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs): Trafalgar, an Indian engineering firm, announced in 2024 the development of India’s first integrated plant for rare earth metals, alloys, and magnets. This marks a vital move toward a self-reliant REE supply chain.
  4. Research and Development: National R&D programs are focusing on improving extraction techniques, reducing environmental impacts, and developing new applications for REEs.
  5. Skill Development and Academia-Industry Linkages: Institutions like IITs and CSIR labs are being engaged to train specialists and conduct pilot studies. Government scholarships and fellowships are fostering a new generation of REE experts.

Opportunities and Recommendations

India is at a pivotal moment to harness its REE potential. To become a global leader, it must focus on:

  • Technology Transfer: Enter joint ventures for acquiring cutting-edge extraction and processing technologies.
  • Incentives for Investment: Provide tax breaks, infrastructure support, and fast-track clearances for REE projects.
  • Environmental Best Practices: Adopt global standards for sustainable mining to minimize ecological footprints.
  • Skilled Workforce Development: Train specialized human capital in rare earth geology, metallurgy, and environmental science.
  • International Trade Agreements: Establish trade partnerships with like-minded countries to ensure long-term market access and stability.

Conclusion

Rare earth elements are poised to become the cornerstone of the next industrial revolution, driving innovations in clean energy, transportation, and defence. While China’s dominance remains a structural challenge, global momentum is building to develop diversified and sustainable supply chains.

In the evolving geopolitical landscape, mastering the REE value chain is not just an economic imperative—it is a strategic necessity.

Share the Post:

Related Posts